Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 4.375331 4.858822 5.375914 5.970531 6.635984 7.358404 8.202946
2026-02-01 3.526358 4.181218 4.931740 5.857471 6.971339 8.271781 9.910123
2026-02-08 2.951065 3.688629 4.582531 5.749998 7.240950 9.089798 11.569479
2026-02-15 2.561916 3.346387 4.342711 5.708263 7.542701 9.937847 13.328352
2026-02-22 2.329798 3.162247 4.263663 5.838690 8.051390 11.076058 15.569880
2026-03-01 2.092300 2.936179 4.093230 5.810477 8.319950 11.892470 17.433917
2026-03-08 1.854151 2.679390 3.846990 5.637883 8.348354 12.349642 18.801215
2026-03-15 1.688551 2.507028 3.699207 5.584593 8.532955 13.036000 20.566296
2026-03-22 1.594704 2.429617 3.679987 5.716313 9.002678 14.189854 23.177329
2026-03-29 1.512838 2.361222 3.665269 5.848483 9.478333 15.389180 25.982319
2026-04-05 1.416178 2.259946 3.588348 5.869814 9.769135 16.305776 28.396160
2026-04-12 1.313203 2.139045 3.468391 5.806253 9.906056 16.967894 30.422794
2026-04-19 1.211714 2.014331 3.335109 5.713488 9.993070 17.568232 32.439074
2026-04-26 1.119362 1.897590 3.205726 5.615776 10.061841 18.142972 34.476724
2026-05-03 1.036223 1.789802 3.082507 5.516918 10.117004 18.694705 36.529386
2026-05-10 0.970911 1.707855 2.997369 5.478490 10.278709 19.458112 39.085341
2026-05-17 0.935982 1.677238 3.000790 5.603909 10.763321 20.888601 43.172361
2026-05-24 0.882450 1.608240 2.928289 5.577139 10.944801 21.732811 46.116314
2026-05-31 0.815307 1.508754 2.791228 5.412023 10.831098 21.962108 47.742964
2026-06-07 0.768537 1.444290 2.715299 5.361045 10.944889 22.671178 50.516501
2026-06-14 0.746602 1.425949 2.726577 5.487146 11.440753 24.240383 55.450986
2026-06-21 0.725942 1.408457 2.737892 5.613661 11.948371 25.884424 60.764592
2026-06-28 0.695068 1.368282 2.700698 5.634080 12.224083 27.036152 65.024904